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21 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.6%
Preston
28.6%
Draw
41.8%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Preston

vs
1.40

Norwich

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.9%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).