Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.4%
Pogoń Szczecin
25.3%
Draw
25.2%
Motor Lublin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Pogoń Szczecin
vs
1.21
Motor Lublin
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).