Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Altrincham
28.0%
Draw
39.6%
Torquay
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Altrincham
vs
1.41
Torquay
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.0%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).