Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.1%
Port Vale
19.5%
Draw
14.4%
Cheltenham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Port Vale
vs
0.80
Cheltenham
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
2-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
5.2%
4-0
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).