Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.3%
Sp Gijon
19.7%
Draw
14.0%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Sp Gijon
vs
0.82
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
4.7%
4-0
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).