Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.5%
Valladolid
22.3%
Draw
60.2%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Valladolid
vs
1.90
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).