Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.3%
Hannover
24.1%
Draw
24.6%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Hannover
vs
1.29
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS62.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.540.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-0
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
5.0%
3-0
4.8%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).