Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.3%
Bournemouth
16.5%
Draw
9.2%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
Bournemouth
vs
0.92
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.549.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.5%
1-0
6.2%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
5.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
3.7%
0-0
3.5%
5-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).