Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.5%
Marseille
9.4%
Draw
6.1%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
3.53
Marseille
vs
0.95
Troyes
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.593.6%
Over 2.582.3%
Over 3.565.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-0
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
4-1
7.0%
2-1
6.7%
5-0
5.2%
5-1
4.9%
1-0
4.1%
3-2
3.7%
1-1
3.7%
4-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).