Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.0%
Sassuolo
15.6%
Draw
8.4%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
2.70
Sassuolo
vs
0.83
Mantova
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.2%
1-1
7.2%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
5-0
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).