Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Monza
28.3%
Draw
23.0%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Monza
vs
0.97
Palermo
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).