Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Cremonese
28.8%
Draw
25.3%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Cremonese
vs
1.03
Modena
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.9%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).