Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Reading
25.0%
Draw
50.6%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Reading
vs
1.53
Burnley
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).