Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Plymouth
28.1%
Draw
48.4%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Plymouth
vs
1.48
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
9.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).