Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Las Palmas
26.8%
Draw
36.6%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Las Palmas
vs
1.31
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
9.2%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
6.2%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).