Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Bari
28.9%
Draw
33.3%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Bari
vs
1.25
Empoli
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).