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05 Aug 2022 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.8%
Greuther Furth
22.4%
Draw
40.8%
Karlsruhe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.91

Greuther Furth

vs
2.01

Karlsruhe

Markets

BTTS74.5%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.591.0%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.555.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
2-0
3.6%
0-1
3.3%
3-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).