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03 Apr 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.2%
Leicester
26.6%
Draw
30.2%
Preston

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Leicester

vs
1.29

Preston

Markets

BTTS58.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).