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30 Sept 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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78.1%
Trabzonspor
15.3%
Draw
6.5%
Pendikspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.97

Trabzonspor

vs
0.87

Pendikspor

Markets

BTTS56.7%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.591.0%
Over 2.573.8%
Over 3.553.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.4%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-0
6.9%
1-1
6.9%
4-1
6.1%
1-0
5.0%
5-0
4.1%
5-1
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).