Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.5%
Swansea
26.9%
Draw
64.7%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.37
Swansea
vs
1.48
Burnley
Markets
BTTS24.6%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.555.9%
Over 2.528.3%
Over 3.511.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
22.6%
0-2
17.2%
0-0
16.3%
1-1
9.3%
0-3
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
1-0
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
0-4
3.1%
2-1
1.6%
2-2
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).