Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Bastia
28.0%
Draw
32.0%
Nimes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Bastia
vs
0.95
Nimes
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
0-1
13.3%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).