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AHT: 12CSV

18 Jan 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.0%
Fylde
25.6%
Draw
49.4%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Fylde

vs
1.73

Torquay

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
5.5%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).