Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Sheffield United
28.5%
Draw
25.1%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Sheffield United
vs
1.01
Swansea
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).