Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Santa Clara
35.8%
Draw
37.0%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Santa Clara
vs
0.94
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.580.8%
Over 1.551.9%
Over 2.524.4%
Over 3.59.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.2%
0-1
16.1%
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.9%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
3-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).