Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Pisa
26.5%
Draw
35.5%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Pisa
vs
1.47
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS61.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).