Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.0%
Ibiza
22.7%
Draw
57.4%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Ibiza
vs
1.81
Malaga
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.4%
1-1
10.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
0-0
6.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
2.9%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).