Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.8%
Sheffield Wednesday
28.8%
Draw
51.4%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Sheffield Wednesday
vs
1.46
Preston
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.4%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).