Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Almeria
26.5%
Draw
27.9%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Almeria
vs
1.04
Eibar
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
12.3%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).