Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Casa Pia
23.8%
Draw
44.9%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Casa Pia
vs
1.87
Estoril
Markets
BTTS67.1%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).