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AHT: 00CSV

06 Apr 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.4%
Kidderminster
32.7%
Draw
37.9%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Kidderminster

vs
1.10

Halifax

Markets

BTTS41.5%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
0-0
14.3%
0-1
13.3%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).