Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Leverkusen
24.5%
Draw
25.1%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Leverkusen
vs
1.24
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).