Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Nurnberg
22.5%
Draw
24.8%
Karlsruhe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Nurnberg
vs
1.43
Karlsruhe
Markets
BTTS67.9%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.547.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
1-0
5.2%
3-2
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
0-0
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).