Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Burnley
26.2%
Draw
37.7%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Burnley
vs
1.63
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS65.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
0-0
5.5%
0-2
5.3%
0-1
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).