Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Toulouse
21.6%
Draw
24.5%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Toulouse
vs
1.16
Nice
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.2%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).