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AHT: 02CSV

31 Aug 2024 · 17:15

Dender

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.1%
Beerschot VA
27.0%
Draw
33.9%
Dender

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Beerschot VA

vs
1.31

Dender

Markets

BTTS56.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).