Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.4%
Cheltenham
25.8%
Draw
41.8%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Cheltenham
vs
1.35
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
7.7%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).