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04 Mar 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.2%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
27.4%
Draw
35.4%
Waregem

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

vs
1.32

Waregem

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-0
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
0-0
7.6%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).