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21 May 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.5%
Karlsruhe
23.5%
Draw
42.0%
Kaiserslautern

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

Karlsruhe

vs
1.90

Kaiserslautern

Markets

BTTS70.6%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.548.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
0-2
4.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
1-0
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).