Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Valencia
28.6%
Draw
40.7%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Valencia
vs
1.29
Celta
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).