Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.2%
Bayern Munich
10.5%
Draw
4.3%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
3.13
Bayern Munich
vs
0.64
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.589.4%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.552.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
4-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-0
5.8%
1-1
4.9%
5-1
3.7%
0-0
2.6%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).