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05 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.2%
West Ham
22.4%
Draw
16.4%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

2.16

West Ham

vs
1.06

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS59.2%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
3-0
6.7%
2-2
5.2%
0-0
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).