Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.2%
Juventus
19.8%
Draw
11.1%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Juventus
vs
0.62
Parma
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
2-0
14.5%
3-0
9.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
4-1
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).