Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.0%
Barcelona
10.6%
Draw
5.4%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
3.20
Barcelona
vs
0.76
Girona
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.575.7%
Over 3.556.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
4-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
4-1
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
5-0
5.3%
1-1
4.8%
5-1
4.1%
3-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).