Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.2%
Hamilton
30.5%
Draw
43.3%
Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Hamilton
vs
1.24
Hearts
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
12.5%
1-0
10.0%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).