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26 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.0%
Cordoba
23.1%
Draw
30.0%
Sporting Gijón

Expected Goals (xG)

1.76

Cordoba

vs
1.36

Sporting Gijón

Markets

BTTS61.5%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).