Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Spal
24.5%
Draw
42.3%
Redbridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Spal
vs
1.49
Redbridge
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).