Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.5%
Braintree Town
24.2%
Draw
60.3%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Braintree Town
vs
1.83
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.0%
0-2
11.8%
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).