Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.5%
Cheltenham
23.7%
Draw
46.8%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Cheltenham
vs
1.50
Reading
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.9%
1-1
11.2%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).