Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.0%
Plymouth
26.6%
Draw
44.4%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Plymouth
vs
1.59
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.3%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).