Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
PAOK
29.6%
Draw
29.0%
AEK
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
PAOK
vs
1.08
AEK
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).